Vol.1, No 7, 1999 pp. 43 - 50
UDC 338.242:330.341
DEVELOPMENT POLICY AS ILL-STRUCTURED PROBLEM
Sofija Adžić
Faculty of Economics, University of Novi Sad
Put Moše Pijade 9-11, 24000 Subotica, Yugoslavia
Abstract. The current economic developments and a low controllability level of economies in transition do not allow any conventional formalization or realization of development policy. In line with the new concept of role of the state in economic development, the tendencies and development tempo or particular economic subsystems should be conceived as a result of complex interactions of institutional changes, economic and political interventions, and, above all, modifications within microeconomics behavior of economic subjects. Under such circumstances, a more precise and complex apprehension of developmental decisions and their consequences is required from economic policy creators and the releasers. This assumes the establishment of an entirely new concept of planning system based on soft system methodology in designing the developmental policies. The application of fuzzy theory should enable a proper treatment of uncertainties and fuzziness, which are inherent to subjectivity, imprecise preferences, restrictions and goals.
RAZVOJNA POLITIKA KAO SLABO STRUKTUIRANI PROBLEM
Tekuća privredna kretanja i niska kontrolabilnost privreda u tranziciji ne dozvoljavaju konvencionalnu formalizaciju i realizaciju razvojne politike. Novi koncept razvojne politike zavisi u prvom redu od uloge države u privrednom razvoju, tendencija razvoja pojedinih sektora i predstavlja rezultantu kompleksnih interakcija institucionalnih promena, ekonomskih i političkih intervencija i, pre svega, promena u mikroekonomskom ponašanju privrednih subjekata. U takvim okolnostima neophodno je kompleksnije i preciznije donošenje odluka i sagledavanje njihovih posledica od strane kreatora i izvršilaca razvojne politike. Jedan od mogućih pristupa je primena metodologije za soft (meke) sisteme u dizajniranju razvojne politike. Aplikacija fazi teorije omogućava pouzdanije tretiranja neizvesnosti i rasplinutosti koja su imanenta subjektivnom i nepreciznom poimanji preferencija, ograničenja i ciljeva.