Vol. 4, No 2, 2006
pp. 101 - 113
UDC 550.348.098.64:624.042.7:519.2(497.11)
(045)=20
SELECTION OF THE APPROPRIATE METHODOLOGY
FOR THE PROBABILISTIC SEISMIC HAZARD
ANALYSIS ON THE TERRITORY OF THE REPUBLIC OF SERBIA
Borko Bulajić1,
Miodrag Manić2
1The Highway Institute Inc., Belgrade,
Serbia,
2Institute of Earthquake Engineering
and Engineering Seismology, University
"Ss. Cyril and Methodius", Skopje, Republic of
Macedonia
Abstract. This paper presents a review of
the approaches to the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis as well as
discussion regarding the selection of the appropriate methodology of probabilistic
seismic hazard analysis for the territory of the Republic of Serbia. Use
of the deductive approach has been suggested, as well as that the new Serbian
seismic hazard maps should be expressed through the values of the peak
ground acceleration, having in mind that the new hazard maps for the Republic
of Serbia should be compiled in compliance with the recommendations of
the Eurocode 8.
Key words: Probabilistic seismic hazard
analysis, peak ground acceleration, Republic of Serbia.
ODABIR ODGOVARAJUĆE METODOLOGIJE
ZA PROBABILISTIČKU ANALIZU
SEIZMIČKOG HAZARDA NA TERITORIJI REPUBLIKE SRBIJE
U ovom radu dat je pregled pristupa probabilističkoj
analizi seizmičkog hazarda, kao i diskusija vezana za izbor odgovarajuće
metodologije probabilističke analize seizmičkog hazarda za teritoriju Republike
Srbije. Predloženo je korišćenje deduktivnog pristupa kao i da bi nove
srpske karte seizmičkog hazarda trebalo da budu izražene preko maksimalnih
(vršnih, "peak") vrednosti ubrzanja tla, imajući u vidu da bi nove karte
hazarda za Republiku Srbiju trebalo da budu sastavljene u skladu sa preporukama
Evrokoda 8.
